Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 26 августа?
20°C 89%
25°C 89%
17°C or below 55%
27°C or higher 55%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
55%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
89%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
89%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
55%
20°C 89%
25°C 89%
17°C or below 55%
27°C or higher 55%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$0 Объем
55%
18°C
$0 Объем
50%
19°C
$0 Объем
50%
20°C
$0 Объем
89%
21°C
$0 Объем
26%
22°C
$0 Объем
26%
23°C
$0 Объем
26%
24°C
$0 Объем
50%
25°C
$0 Объем
89%
26°C
$0 Объем
1%
27°C or higher
$0 Объем
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 20–22°C under persistent high pressure, northeasterly winds, and clear skies that promote efficient nighttime radiational cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 21°C, with current model consensus showing minimal precipitation risk and stable subsidence limiting cloud development that could otherwise raise the overnight minimum. The near-even market-implied odds between 20°C and 25°C reflect traders balancing these guidance runs against potential small shifts in wind speed, humidity, or urban heat island effects across monitoring stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 18°C or above 27°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble spreads. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any deviations from the current trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы