Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 26 indicates a minimum nighttime temperature near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the 15.5% implied probability for that outcome. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (41.5%) or 18°C (32.5%) reflects ensemble model spread from the ECMWF and UKV, where slightly clearer conditions or reduced urban heat retention could drop readings 1–2°C below official point forecasts. Late-summer climatology shows typical London lows of 14–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited Atlantic moisture keep values elevated. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in these tightly clustered probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 26 августа?
17°C 45%
18°C 33%
15°C 17%
14°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
7%
13°C
11%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
14%
17°C
45%
18°C
33%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
1%
22°C или выше
1%
17°C 45%
18°C 33%
15°C 17%
14°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$0 Объем
7%
13°C
$0 Объем
11%
14°C
$0 Объем
15%
15°C
$0 Объем
17%
16°C
$46 Объем
14%
17°C
$91 Объем
45%
18°C
$65 Объем
33%
19°C
$0 Объем
15%
20°C
$0 Объем
8%
21°C
$0 Объем
1%
22°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 26 indicates a minimum nighttime temperature near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the 15.5% implied probability for that outcome. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (41.5%) or 18°C (32.5%) reflects ensemble model spread from the ECMWF and UKV, where slightly clearer conditions or reduced urban heat retention could drop readings 1–2°C below official point forecasts. Late-summer climatology shows typical London lows of 14–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited Atlantic moisture keep values elevated. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$202Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 26 indicates a minimum nighttime temperature near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the 15.5% implied probability for that outcome. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (41.5%) or 18°C (32.5%) reflects ensemble model spread from the ECMWF and UKV, where slightly clearer conditions or reduced urban heat retention could drop readings 1–2°C below official point forecasts. Late-summer climatology shows typical London lows of 14–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited Atlantic moisture keep values elevated. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in these tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$202Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 26 indicates a minimum nighttime temperature near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the 15.5% implied probability for that outcome. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (41.5%) or 18°C (32.5%) reflects ensemble model spread from the ECMWF and UKV, where slightly clearer conditions or reduced urban heat retention could drop readings 1–2°C below official point forecasts. Late-summer climatology shows typical London lows of 14–16°C, but current high-pressure dominance and limited Atlantic moisture keep values elevated. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in these tightly clustered probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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