Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC near 58–60°F on September 15, driven by clear skies overnight and a light northerly to easterly flow following Monday’s frontal passage. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions and dew points in the mid-50s will allow temperatures to fall steadily after midnight, with the daily low likely occurring just before dawn. Minor differences among guidance arise from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, keeping the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and the 00Z–06Z NWS forecast discussion on September 15 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 15 сентября?
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 39%
56-57°F 17%
62-63°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
51°F или ниже
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70°F или выше
<1%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 39%
56-57°F 17%
62-63°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
51°F или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
2%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
4%
56-57°F
$111 Объем
17%
58-59°F
$106 Объем
40%
60-61°F
$94 Объем
39%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
14%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
7%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
1%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
1%
70°F или выше
$300 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC near 58–60°F on September 15, driven by clear skies overnight and a light northerly to easterly flow following Monday’s frontal passage. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions and dew points in the mid-50s will allow temperatures to fall steadily after midnight, with the daily low likely occurring just before dawn. Minor differences among guidance arise from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, keeping the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and the 00Z–06Z NWS forecast discussion on September 15 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$611Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC near 58–60°F on September 15, driven by clear skies overnight and a light northerly to easterly flow following Monday’s frontal passage. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions and dew points in the mid-50s will allow temperatures to fall steadily after midnight, with the daily low likely occurring just before dawn. Minor differences among guidance arise from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, keeping the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and the 00Z–06Z NWS forecast discussion on September 15 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$611Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in central NYC near 58–60°F on September 15, driven by clear skies overnight and a light northerly to easterly flow following Monday’s frontal passage. Radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions and dew points in the mid-50s will allow temperatures to fall steadily after midnight, with the daily low likely occurring just before dawn. Minor differences among guidance arise from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, keeping the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins nearly tied in market-implied odds. Updated model runs and the 00Z–06Z NWS forecast discussion on September 15 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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