Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for San Francisco on August 24, 2026, converge on an overnight low of 58–59°F, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow and a deepening marine layer from the Pacific are maintaining typical coastal moderation, with dew points near 56–57°F and light westerly winds preventing significant radiational cooling. A brief cooldown pattern that began earlier in the week has reinforced this range, keeping temperatures close to August climatological normals of 57°F. Model consensus shows little spread, and with the overnight period now underway, resolution hinges on official observations from stations such as KSFO; only unexpected clear skies or a shift in wind direction could push the minimum notably lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 24 августа?
58-59°F 99%
54-55°F 34%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 16%
$2,791 Объем
$2,791 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
12%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
90%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F или выше
<1%
58-59°F 99%
54-55°F 34%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 16%
$2,791 Объем
$2,791 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
$60 Объем
12%
50-51°F
$60 Объем
31%
52-53°F
$79 Объем
16%
54-55°F
$79 Объем
34%
56-57°F
$30 Объем
16%
58-59°F
$270 Объем
90%
60-61°F
$344 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$330 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$305 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$124 Объем
<1%
68°F или выше
$1,110 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for San Francisco on August 24, 2026, converge on an overnight low of 58–59°F, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow and a deepening marine layer from the Pacific are maintaining typical coastal moderation, with dew points near 56–57°F and light westerly winds preventing significant radiational cooling. A brief cooldown pattern that began earlier in the week has reinforced this range, keeping temperatures close to August climatological normals of 57°F. Model consensus shows little spread, and with the overnight period now underway, resolution hinges on official observations from stations such as KSFO; only unexpected clear skies or a shift in wind direction could push the minimum notably lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$2,791Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for San Francisco on August 24, 2026, converge on an overnight low of 58–59°F, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow and a deepening marine layer from the Pacific are maintaining typical coastal moderation, with dew points near 56–57°F and light westerly winds preventing significant radiational cooling. A brief cooldown pattern that began earlier in the week has reinforced this range, keeping temperatures close to August climatological normals of 57°F. Model consensus shows little spread, and with the overnight period now underway, resolution hinges on official observations from stations such as KSFO; only unexpected clear skies or a shift in wind direction could push the minimum notably lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,791Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for San Francisco on August 24, 2026, converge on an overnight low of 58–59°F, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent onshore flow and a deepening marine layer from the Pacific are maintaining typical coastal moderation, with dew points near 56–57°F and light westerly winds preventing significant radiational cooling. A brief cooldown pattern that began earlier in the week has reinforced this range, keeping temperatures close to August climatological normals of 57°F. Model consensus shows little spread, and with the overnight period now underway, resolution hinges on official observations from stations such as KSFO; only unexpected clear skies or a shift in wind direction could push the minimum notably lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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