Latest numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, project a daily minimum near 19°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on September 13 under overcast skies, light westerly winds around 2–5 mph, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting on 18–20°C outcomes, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical overnight lows range 18–21°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes. Minor model spreads and urban heat island effects between Seoul and Incheon introduce the observed probability distribution, with no major forecast shifts reported in the past 24 hours. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 13 сентября?
19°C 42%
20°C 28%
18°C 19%
21°C 14%
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
18%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
14%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 28%
18°C 19%
21°C 14%
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
18%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
14%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, project a daily minimum near 19°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on September 13 under overcast skies, light westerly winds around 2–5 mph, and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting on 18–20°C outcomes, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical overnight lows range 18–21°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes. Minor model spreads and urban heat island effects between Seoul and Incheon introduce the observed probability distribution, with no major forecast shifts reported in the past 24 hours. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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