Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies over the Korean Peninsula, supporting overnight lows of 17–20°C in Incheon on September 18. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 20°C (37%) and 19°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological September minimums near 18°C and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against typical model variability in boundary-layer temperatures, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 18 сентября?
20°C 37%
21°C 19%
18°C 10%
19°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
23%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 19%
18°C 10%
19°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
16°C
$0 Объем
3%
17°C
$0 Объем
6%
18°C
$0 Объем
10%
19°C
$84 Объем
23%
20°C
$106 Объем
37%
21°C
$0 Объем
19%
22°C
$0 Объем
6%
23°C
$0 Объем
3%
24°C
$0 Объем
1%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies over the Korean Peninsula, supporting overnight lows of 17–20°C in Incheon on September 18. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 20°C (37%) and 19°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological September minimums near 18°C and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against typical model variability in boundary-layer temperatures, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$190Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies over the Korean Peninsula, supporting overnight lows of 17–20°C in Incheon on September 18. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 20°C (37%) and 19°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological September minimums near 18°C and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against typical model variability in boundary-layer temperatures, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$190Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate stable high-pressure conditions with easterly flow and partly cloudy skies over the Korean Peninsula, supporting overnight lows of 17–20°C in Incheon on September 18. This consensus drives the market's leading outcomes at 20°C (37%) and 19°C (22.5%), consistent with climatological September minimums near 18°C and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread against typical model variability in boundary-layer temperatures, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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