Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 20 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 20 августа?
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$100 Объем
<1%
23°C
$13 Объем
1%
24°C
$15 Объем
1%
25°C
$8 Объем
3%
26°C
$64 Объем
13%
27°C
$301 Объем
59%
28°C
$52 Объем
27%
29°C
$117 Объем
3%
30°C
$49 Объем
1%
31°C
$206 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$286 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$1,212Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,212Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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