Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's August 20 high temperature centered near 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate monsoon moisture and urban heat retention. Close market probabilities between these outcomes stem from minor divergences in predicted cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler due to increased humidity and potential sea-breeze effects. Traders will monitor the final 48-hour updates from official stations before resolution, as small forecast adjustments often separate the top two bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 20 августа?
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
35%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
35%
31°C
32%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Shanghai's August 20 high temperature centered near 30–31°C, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate monsoon moisture and urban heat retention. Close market probabilities between these outcomes stem from minor divergences in predicted cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift peak readings by 1°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly cooler due to increased humidity and potential sea-breeze effects. Traders will monitor the final 48-hour updates from official stations before resolution, as small forecast adjustments often separate the top two bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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