Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional climate data point to Shanghai overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical humidity that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains elevated minimums. The approaching Chushu solar term on that date often brings gradual seasonal moderation after peak heat, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (51.5%) and 28°C (33%). Recent observational trends show consistent overnight readings near 27°C amid cloudy-to-overcast conditions and light winds, with limited model spread on intensification of any cooling or precipitation effects. Traders appear to price in this consensus while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 29°C absent a significant synoptic shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 23 августа?
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
25°C 6%
26°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
52%
28°C
33%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
25°C 6%
26°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$5 Объем
1%
23°C
$10 Объем
5%
24°C
$96 Объем
5%
25°C
$0 Объем
6%
26°C
$0 Объем
6%
27°C
$12 Объем
52%
28°C
$112 Объем
33%
29°C
$5 Объем
1%
30°C
$20 Объем
1%
31°C
$9 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$48 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional climate data point to Shanghai overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical humidity that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains elevated minimums. The approaching Chushu solar term on that date often brings gradual seasonal moderation after peak heat, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (51.5%) and 28°C (33%). Recent observational trends show consistent overnight readings near 27°C amid cloudy-to-overcast conditions and light winds, with limited model spread on intensification of any cooling or precipitation effects. Traders appear to price in this consensus while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 29°C absent a significant synoptic shift.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$318Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional climate data point to Shanghai overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical humidity that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains elevated minimums. The approaching Chushu solar term on that date often brings gradual seasonal moderation after peak heat, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (51.5%) and 28°C (33%). Recent observational trends show consistent overnight readings near 27°C amid cloudy-to-overcast conditions and light winds, with limited model spread on intensification of any cooling or precipitation effects. Traders appear to price in this consensus while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 29°C absent a significant synoptic shift.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$318Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional climate data point to Shanghai overnight lows of 26–28°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical humidity that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains elevated minimums. The approaching Chushu solar term on that date often brings gradual seasonal moderation after peak heat, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (51.5%) and 28°C (33%). Recent observational trends show consistent overnight readings near 27°C amid cloudy-to-overcast conditions and light winds, with limited model spread on intensification of any cooling or precipitation effects. Traders appear to price in this consensus while assigning low probability to outliers below 25°C or above 29°C absent a significant synoptic shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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