Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low for August 24 near 26–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology of weak high pressure and humid maritime air. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (52.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%), with 26°C at 12.5%. Recent runs show limited model spread on steering patterns and minimal cooling from possible showers, while historical August minima rarely fall below 25°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if subtropical moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?
27°C 53%
28°C 26%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
39%
28°C
26%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 53%
28°C 26%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$5 Объем
<1%
23°C
$5 Объем
4%
24°C
$92 Объем
6%
25°C
$0 Объем
7%
26°C
$40 Объем
13%
27°C
$77 Объем
39%
28°C
$6 Объем
26%
29°C
$77 Объем
9%
30°C
$5 Объем
1%
31°C
$5 Объем
6%
32°C or higher
$5 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low for August 24 near 26–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology of weak high pressure and humid maritime air. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (52.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%), with 26°C at 12.5%. Recent runs show limited model spread on steering patterns and minimal cooling from possible showers, while historical August minima rarely fall below 25°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if subtropical moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$317Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low for August 24 near 26–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology of weak high pressure and humid maritime air. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (52.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%), with 26°C at 12.5%. Recent runs show limited model spread on steering patterns and minimal cooling from possible showers, while historical August minima rarely fall below 25°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if subtropical moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$317Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low for August 24 near 26–28°C, consistent with late-summer climatology of weak high pressure and humid maritime air. This consensus underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C (52.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%), with 26°C at 12.5%. Recent runs show limited model spread on steering patterns and minimal cooling from possible showers, while historical August minima rarely fall below 25°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if subtropical moisture or wind shifts alter radiative cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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