Persistent heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover over Taipei on September 4 are moderating overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling and enhancing atmospheric mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for the daily minimum. High dew points near 25–26°C further constrain the diurnal temperature range under humid, overcast conditions typical of tropical moisture influx. Forecast models show consensus on lows in this band but diverge on exact timing of showers, creating uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines of 23–24°C. Real-time surface observations through the night will determine the official low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тайбэе 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Тайбэе 4 сентября?
22°C 87%
25°C 51%
24°C 41%
23°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
4%
22°C
87%
23°C
40%
24°C
41%
25°C
51%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
22°C 87%
25°C 51%
24°C 41%
23°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$30 Объем
4%
22°C
$72 Объем
87%
23°C
$0 Объем
40%
24°C
$8 Объем
41%
25°C
$0 Объем
51%
26°C
$232 Объем
<1%
27°C
$40 Объем
<1%
28°C
$40 Объем
<1%
29°C
$40 Объем
<1%
30°C
$40 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$40 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover over Taipei on September 4 are moderating overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling and enhancing atmospheric mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for the daily minimum. High dew points near 25–26°C further constrain the diurnal temperature range under humid, overcast conditions typical of tropical moisture influx. Forecast models show consensus on lows in this band but diverge on exact timing of showers, creating uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines of 23–24°C. Real-time surface observations through the night will determine the official low.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$542Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover over Taipei on September 4 are moderating overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling and enhancing atmospheric mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for the daily minimum. High dew points near 25–26°C further constrain the diurnal temperature range under humid, overcast conditions typical of tropical moisture influx. Forecast models show consensus on lows in this band but diverge on exact timing of showers, creating uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines of 23–24°C. Real-time surface observations through the night will determine the official low.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$542Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover over Taipei on September 4 are moderating overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling and enhancing atmospheric mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–25°C for the daily minimum. High dew points near 25–26°C further constrain the diurnal temperature range under humid, overcast conditions typical of tropical moisture influx. Forecast models show consensus on lows in this band but diverge on exact timing of showers, creating uncertainty that traders weigh against historical September baselines of 23–24°C. Real-time surface observations through the night will determine the official low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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