Recent forecasts from global models indicate typical summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with high pressure and light winds favoring overnight lows near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23. These values align with climatological August minima of 24–26°C, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and urban heat-island effects limit further cooling. Small forecast spreads arise from minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies might allow it to reach 27°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the 23–27°C range, traders are pricing the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale model runs rather than any anomalous synoptic shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 23 августа?
31°C or higher 24.6%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
27°C 19%
21°C or below
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
25%
31°C or higher 24.6%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
27°C 19%
21°C or below
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate typical summer conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with high pressure and light winds favoring overnight lows near 25–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 23. These values align with climatological August minima of 24–26°C, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and urban heat-island effects limit further cooling. Small forecast spreads arise from minor differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; stronger onshore flow or increased humidity could suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer skies might allow it to reach 27°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the 23–27°C range, traders are pricing the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale model runs rather than any anomalous synoptic shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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