Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on September 14 will likely settle near 23–24°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity, limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels, with traders weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September minima average 23°C, providing context, while stable high pressure offers little scope for sharper drops unless an unexpected marine layer develops. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 14 сентября?
19°C или ниже 55%
29°C или выше 51%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
19°C или ниже
55%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
25%
23°C
29%
24°C
32%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
17%
28°C
13%
29°C или выше
51%
19°C или ниже 55%
29°C или выше 51%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
19°C или ниже
55%
20°C
17%
21°C
39%
22°C
25%
23°C
29%
24°C
32%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
17%
28°C
13%
29°C или выше
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on September 14 will likely settle near 23–24°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity, limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those levels, with traders weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September minima average 23°C, providing context, while stable high pressure offers little scope for sharper drops unless an unexpected marine layer develops. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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