Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, show a consensus maximum near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-September. Daytime heating will peak with low humidity and minimal cloud interference, aligning with climatological norms where highs average 28–30°C. Slight warm biases in some runs support the market's 64.5% implied probability on 32°C, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of cooling sea breezes or frontal activity. Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine the exact daily high, with little expected shift before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 13 сентября?
32°C 65%
33°C 29%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
65%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 65%
33°C 29%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$597 Объем
<1%
29°C
$63 Объем
<1%
30°C
$245 Объем
1%
31°C
$535 Объем
4%
32°C
$1,066 Объем
65%
33°C
$1,585 Объем
29%
34°C
$376 Объем
2%
35°C
$335 Объем
1%
36°C
$63 Объем
<1%
37°C
$411 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$257 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, show a consensus maximum near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-September. Daytime heating will peak with low humidity and minimal cloud interference, aligning with climatological norms where highs average 28–30°C. Slight warm biases in some runs support the market's 64.5% implied probability on 32°C, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of cooling sea breezes or frontal activity. Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine the exact daily high, with little expected shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,533Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, show a consensus maximum near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-September. Daytime heating will peak with low humidity and minimal cloud interference, aligning with climatological norms where highs average 28–30°C. Slight warm biases in some runs support the market's 64.5% implied probability on 32°C, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of cooling sea breezes or frontal activity. Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine the exact daily high, with little expected shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,533Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, show a consensus maximum near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of the eastern Mediterranean in mid-September. Daytime heating will peak with low humidity and minimal cloud interference, aligning with climatological norms where highs average 28–30°C. Slight warm biases in some runs support the market's 64.5% implied probability on 32°C, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of cooling sea breezes or frontal activity. Israel Meteorological Service observations will determine the exact daily high, with little expected shift before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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