Trader consensus heavily favors a 21°C minimum in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent outputs from global forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity around 85-93%. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 23-24°C with dew points supporting limited nocturnal cooling under overcast skies, aligning with climatological September baselines of 19-23°C lows. This positioning draws from real-time model agreement on minimal radiative cooling and stable steering patterns. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip toward 19-20°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 12 сентября?
21°C 96%
20°C 3%
19°C 2.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
96%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 96%
20°C 3%
19°C 2.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$87 Объем
<1%
17°C
$63 Объем
<1%
18°C
$242 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,519 Объем
2%
20°C
$1,520 Объем
3%
21°C
$2,359 Объем
96%
22°C
$157 Объем
<1%
23°C
$47 Объем
<1%
24°C
$63 Объем
<1%
25°C
$63 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$63 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 21°C minimum in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent outputs from global forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity around 85-93%. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 23-24°C with dew points supporting limited nocturnal cooling under overcast skies, aligning with climatological September baselines of 19-23°C lows. This positioning draws from real-time model agreement on minimal radiative cooling and stable steering patterns. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip toward 19-20°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$6,184Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 21°C minimum in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent outputs from global forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity around 85-93%. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 23-24°C with dew points supporting limited nocturnal cooling under overcast skies, aligning with climatological September baselines of 19-23°C lows. This positioning draws from real-time model agreement on minimal radiative cooling and stable steering patterns. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip toward 19-20°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,184Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 21°C minimum in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent outputs from global forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity around 85-93%. Recent observations confirm daytime highs near 23-24°C with dew points supporting limited nocturnal cooling under overcast skies, aligning with climatological September baselines of 19-23°C lows. This positioning draws from real-time model agreement on minimal radiative cooling and stable steering patterns. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip toward 19-20°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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