**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 8 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 8 сентября?
4°C 100.0%
3°C или ниже 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,260 Объем
$2,260 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
3°C или ниже
Нет
4°C
Да
5°C
Нет
6°C
Нет
7°C
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C или выше
Нет
4°C 100.0%
3°C или ниже 1.0%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$2,260 Объем
$2,260 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
3°C или ниже
$123 Объем
Нет
4°C
$470 Объем
Да
5°C
$45 Объем
Нет
6°C
$209 Объем
Нет
7°C
$149 Объем
Нет
8°C
$274 Объем
Нет
9°C
$35 Объем
Нет
10°C
$45 Объем
Нет
11°C
$0 Объем
Нет
12°C
$910 Объем
Нет
13°C или выше
$0 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$2,260Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,260Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 4°C minimum in Wellington on September 8, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models and official sources.** Overnight lows are projected near 39°F (approximately 4°C) under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with typical early-spring climatology where September minima average around 7–9°C but can dip lower with clear or calm conditions. Ensemble outputs and station guidance from MetService and international models show tight clustering around this threshold, with limited spread that reduces the chance of readings at 3°C or below. Resolution depends on the official daily minimum from the primary observing site, typically the airport or central station. Unseasonal radiative cooling or a sharper wind shift could push readings marginally lower, though current atmospheric patterns make significant deviation unlikely before final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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