Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Мэриленда
Победитель выборов губернатора Мэриленда
$22,229 Объем
$22,229 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Уэс Мур (Д)
96%
Дэн Кокс (Р)
2%
$22,229 Объем
$22,229 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Уэс Мур (Д)
$13,131 Объем
96%
Дэн Кокс (Р)
$9,098 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Объем
$22,229Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$22,229Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's consistent Democratic lean, his status as incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge, and a June primary victory that secured 88% of the Democratic vote against a minor challenger. The rematch against Dan Cox, who won a crowded Republican primary but previously lost by over 30 points in 2022, reinforces trader consensus reflected in the 96% implied probability. Moore's campaign emphasizes crime reductions, education investments, and economic growth, while Cox highlights taxes and energy costs. Maryland's voter registration advantage and limited polling shifts since the primaries sustain the wide margin, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout surges, or national economic shifts could narrow it before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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