Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan governor in the August 4 primary with over 83% of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over Republican nominee John James, who prevailed in a more competitive GOP primary, reflecting the state's recent Democratic tilt in statewide contests and Benson's established profile as secretary of state. Traders have priced in an 89% implied probability for the Democrat, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or campaign developments in the final months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Мичигана
Победитель выборов губернатора Мичигана
Демократ 89%
Республиканец 11%
Независимый <1%
$199,604 Объем
$199,604 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
89%
Республиканец
11%
Независимый
<1%
Демократ 89%
Республиканец 11%
Независимый <1%
$199,604 Объем
$199,604 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$47,923 Объем
89%
Республиканец
$150,927 Объем
11%
Независимый
$753 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan governor in the August 4 primary with over 83% of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over Republican nominee John James, who prevailed in a more competitive GOP primary, reflecting the state's recent Democratic tilt in statewide contests and Benson's established profile as secretary of state. Traders have priced in an 89% implied probability for the Democrat, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or campaign developments in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Объем
$199,604Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan governor in the August 4 primary with over 83% of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over Republican nominee John James, who prevailed in a more competitive GOP primary, reflecting the state's recent Democratic tilt in statewide contests and Benson's established profile as secretary of state. Traders have priced in an 89% implied probability for the Democrat, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or campaign developments in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$199,604Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan governor in the August 4 primary with over 83% of the vote, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed term-limited incumbent Gretchen Whitmer in the November general election. Recent polling averages show Benson holding a modest lead over Republican nominee John James, who prevailed in a more competitive GOP primary, reflecting the state's recent Democratic tilt in statewide contests and Benson's established profile as secretary of state. Traders have priced in an 89% implied probability for the Democrat, consistent with these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or campaign developments in the final months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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