Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, as the frontier large language model announced for a June 2026 launch at I/O has slipped repeatedly amid extended internal testing, partner feedback, and refinements for long-horizon agentic tasks. While Google has shipped frequent Flash updates—including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and specialized voice models like 3.8 Live on September 15—alongside training commencement for the more ambitious Gemini 4, the flagship Pro version stays in limited testing with a "coming soon" status. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's monthly cadence on lighter models, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to next-generation priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
$1,309,830 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
September 30
12%
October 31
84%
15 октября
39%
$1,309,830 Объем
September 30
$94,403 Объем
12%
October 31
$29,685 Объем
84%
15 октября
$17,085 Объем
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, as the frontier large language model announced for a June 2026 launch at I/O has slipped repeatedly amid extended internal testing, partner feedback, and refinements for long-horizon agentic tasks. While Google has shipped frequent Flash updates—including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and specialized voice models like 3.8 Live on September 15—alongside training commencement for the more ambitious Gemini 4, the flagship Pro version stays in limited testing with a "coming soon" status. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's monthly cadence on lighter models, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to next-generation priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Объем
$1,309,830Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, as the frontier large language model announced for a June 2026 launch at I/O has slipped repeatedly amid extended internal testing, partner feedback, and refinements for long-horizon agentic tasks. While Google has shipped frequent Flash updates—including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and specialized voice models like 3.8 Live on September 15—alongside training commencement for the more ambitious Gemini 4, the flagship Pro version stays in limited testing with a "coming soon" status. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's monthly cadence on lighter models, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to next-generation priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,309,830Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, as the frontier large language model announced for a June 2026 launch at I/O has slipped repeatedly amid extended internal testing, partner feedback, and refinements for long-horizon agentic tasks. While Google has shipped frequent Flash updates—including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September and specialized voice models like 3.8 Live on September 15—alongside training commencement for the more ambitious Gemini 4, the flagship Pro version stays in limited testing with a "coming soon" status. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's monthly cadence on lighter models, keeps focus on whether 3.5 Pro arrives before year-end or yields to next-generation priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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