Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
$59,339 Объем
$59,339 Объем
25 апр. 2026 г.
<38.5
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0–40.4
No
40.5+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
$59,339 Объем
$59,339 Объем
25 апр. 2026 г.
<38.5
$5,655 Объем
No
38.5–38.9
$14,857 Объем
No
39.0–39.4
$17,551 Объем
Yes
39.5–39.9
$9,431 Объем
No
40.0–40.4
$8,849 Объем
No
40.5+
$2,997 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Объем
$59,339Дата окончания
25 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$59,339Дата окончания
25 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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