Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near a second-term low of 38 percent, driven by sustained public dissatisfaction with the ongoing conflict involving Iran and its ripple effects on inflation and household costs. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Reuters/Ipsos and Nate Silver’s aggregate, show disapproval climbing above 58 percent as voters across partisan lines register growing concerns about foreign policy execution and economic stewardship. This consistent downward trajectory through mid-May underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for further erosion this week. Only a sudden diplomatic breakthrough or unexpectedly strong economic data release could interrupt the slide before the period closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTrump approval Up or Down this week?
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up
$3,135 Объем
$3,135 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
Up
$3,135 Объем
$3,135 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near a second-term low of 38 percent, driven by sustained public dissatisfaction with the ongoing conflict involving Iran and its ripple effects on inflation and household costs. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Reuters/Ipsos and Nate Silver’s aggregate, show disapproval climbing above 58 percent as voters across partisan lines register growing concerns about foreign policy execution and economic stewardship. This consistent downward trajectory through mid-May underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for further erosion this week. Only a sudden diplomatic breakthrough or unexpectedly strong economic data release could interrupt the slide before the period closes.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Объем
$3,135Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Down
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Down
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near a second-term low of 38 percent, driven by sustained public dissatisfaction with the ongoing conflict involving Iran and its ripple effects on inflation and household costs. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Reuters/Ipsos and Nate Silver’s aggregate, show disapproval climbing above 58 percent as voters across partisan lines register growing concerns about foreign policy execution and economic stewardship. This consistent downward trajectory through mid-May underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for further erosion this week. Only a sudden diplomatic breakthrough or unexpectedly strong economic data release could interrupt the slide before the period closes.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$3,135Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Down
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Down
Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval near a second-term low of 38 percent, driven by sustained public dissatisfaction with the ongoing conflict involving Iran and its ripple effects on inflation and household costs. Multiple surveys released in the past week, including those from Reuters/Ipsos and Nate Silver’s aggregate, show disapproval climbing above 58 percent as voters across partisan lines register growing concerns about foreign policy execution and economic stewardship. This consistent downward trajectory through mid-May underpins the market’s near-certain pricing for further erosion this week. Only a sudden diplomatic breakthrough or unexpectedly strong economic data release could interrupt the slide before the period closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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