Pakistan's overwhelming 88.5% implied probability as the venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting stems from its recent success hosting the first round of direct face-to-face talks in Islamabad on April 11, where US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian negotiators held a 21-hour marathon session amid ceasefire efforts, though no agreement was reached. Pakistani mediators, leveraging strong bilateral ties with both nations, proposed a second round there, reinforced by Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir's meeting with Iranian leaders in Tehran on April 15 and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif's discussions with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Backchannel diplomacy continues, with trader consensus viewing Pakistan's neutral role as optimal despite low odds for alternatives like Turkey or Switzerland, barring major shifts in negotiations before June 30 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде состоится следующая американо-иранская дипломатическая встреча?
Где состоится следующая американо-иранская дипломатическая встреча?
Пакистан 89%
Турция 2.9%
Нет встречи до 30 июня 2.3%
Швейцария 2.1%
$827,262 Объем
$827,262 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Пакистан
89%
Турция
3%
Нет встречи до 30 июня
2%
Швейцария
2%
Другое
1%
Россия
1%
Катар
<1%
Другое - Европа
<1%
Оман
<1%
Австрия
<1%
Египет
<1%
ОАЭ
<1%
Другое - Ближний Восток/Северная Африка
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Иран
<1%
США
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Казахстан
<1%
Италия
<1%
Пакистан 89%
Турция 2.9%
Нет встречи до 30 июня 2.3%
Швейцария 2.1%
$827,262 Объем
$827,262 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Пакистан
$184,962 Объем
89%
Турция
$47,104 Объем
3%
Нет встречи до 30 июня
$48,376 Объем
2%
Швейцария
$76,999 Объем
2%
Другое
$54,464 Объем
1%
Россия
$30,001 Объем
1%
Катар
$29,902 Объем
<1%
Другое - Европа
$58,334 Объем
<1%
Оман
$35,914 Объем
<1%
Австрия
$27,270 Объем
<1%
Египет
$29,510 Объем
<1%
ОАЭ
$29,642 Объем
<1%
Другое - Ближний Восток/Северная Африка
$31,136 Объем
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
$40,076 Объем
<1%
Иран
$12,673 Объем
<1%
США
$25,572 Объем
<1%
Ирак
$20,349 Объем
<1%
Казахстан
$15,364 Объем
<1%
Италия
$29,719 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pakistan's overwhelming 88.5% implied probability as the venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting stems from its recent success hosting the first round of direct face-to-face talks in Islamabad on April 11, where US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian negotiators held a 21-hour marathon session amid ceasefire efforts, though no agreement was reached. Pakistani mediators, leveraging strong bilateral ties with both nations, proposed a second round there, reinforced by Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir's meeting with Iranian leaders in Tehran on April 15 and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif's discussions with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Backchannel diplomacy continues, with trader consensus viewing Pakistan's neutral role as optimal despite low odds for alternatives like Turkey or Switzerland, barring major shifts in negotiations before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Объем
$827,262Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pakistan's overwhelming 88.5% implied probability as the venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting stems from its recent success hosting the first round of direct face-to-face talks in Islamabad on April 11, where US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian negotiators held a 21-hour marathon session amid ceasefire efforts, though no agreement was reached. Pakistani mediators, leveraging strong bilateral ties with both nations, proposed a second round there, reinforced by Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir's meeting with Iranian leaders in Tehran on April 15 and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif's discussions with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Backchannel diplomacy continues, with trader consensus viewing Pakistan's neutral role as optimal despite low odds for alternatives like Turkey or Switzerland, barring major shifts in negotiations before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$827,262Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan's overwhelming 88.5% implied probability as the venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting stems from its recent success hosting the first round of direct face-to-face talks in Islamabad on April 11, where US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian negotiators held a 21-hour marathon session amid ceasefire efforts, though no agreement was reached. Pakistani mediators, leveraging strong bilateral ties with both nations, proposed a second round there, reinforced by Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir's meeting with Iranian leaders in Tehran on April 15 and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif's discussions with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Backchannel diplomacy continues, with trader consensus viewing Pakistan's neutral role as optimal despite low odds for alternatives like Turkey or Switzerland, barring major shifts in negotiations before June 30 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы