President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 has faced immediate strain from ongoing Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, prompting him to publicly exclude the front from the deal while urging restraint on Prime Minister Netanyahu. Netanyahu subsequently authorized direct ceasefire talks with Lebanon on April 9, to be hosted by the US in Washington next week, focusing on Hezbollah disarmament amid hundreds of recent casualties. Iran conditions broader peace talks on halting Lebanon hostilities, elevating diplomatic pressure. Trader consensus at 59% Yes implies expectation that Trump will endorse this emerging bilateral negotiation by April 30 to stabilize regional de-escalation and secure the Strait of Hormuz, consistent with his foreign policy prioritizing swift resolutions over prolonged conflicts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
НОВОЕ
$20,451 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,451 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
$20,451 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,451 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 has faced immediate strain from ongoing Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, prompting him to publicly exclude the front from the deal while urging restraint on Prime Minister Netanyahu. Netanyahu subsequently authorized direct ceasefire talks with Lebanon on April 9, to be hosted by the US in Washington next week, focusing on Hezbollah disarmament amid hundreds of recent casualties. Iran conditions broader peace talks on halting Lebanon hostilities, elevating diplomatic pressure. Trader consensus at 59% Yes implies expectation that Trump will endorse this emerging bilateral negotiation by April 30 to stabilize regional de-escalation and secure the Strait of Hormuz, consistent with his foreign policy prioritizing swift resolutions over prolonged conflicts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$20,451Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 has faced immediate strain from ongoing Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, prompting him to publicly exclude the front from the deal while urging restraint on Prime Minister Netanyahu. Netanyahu subsequently authorized direct ceasefire talks with Lebanon on April 9, to be hosted by the US in Washington next week, focusing on Hezbollah disarmament amid hundreds of recent casualties. Iran conditions broader peace talks on halting Lebanon hostilities, elevating diplomatic pressure. Trader consensus at 59% Yes implies expectation that Trump will endorse this emerging bilateral negotiation by April 30 to stabilize regional de-escalation and secure the Strait of Hormuz, consistent with his foreign policy prioritizing swift resolutions over prolonged conflicts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
Объем
$20,459Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 has faced immediate strain from ongoing Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, prompting him to publicly exclude the front from the deal while urging restraint on Prime Minister Netanyahu. Netanyahu subsequently authorized direct ceasefire talks with Lebanon on April 9, to be hosted by the US in Washington next week, focusing on Hezbollah disarmament amid hundreds of recent casualties. Iran conditions broader peace talks on halting Lebanon hostilities, elevating diplomatic pressure. Trader consensus at 59% Yes implies expectation that Trump will endorse this emerging bilateral negotiation by April 30 to stabilize regional de-escalation and secure the Strait of Hormuz, consistent with his foreign policy prioritizing swift resolutions over prolonged conflicts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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