With 2026 House elections five months away, trader consensus clusters tightly between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus turnout bands because early indicators offer conflicting signals on mobilization. Record Democratic primary participation in states like North Carolina, doubled voter registration activity at platforms such as Vote.org, and nearly 49 million eligible young voters introduce upside potential for elevated participation. Countervailing pressures include a historically low share of truly competitive districts, an off-year electorate that typically favors higher-propensity voters, and enthusiasm gaps observed in recent special elections. Redistricting changes in several states and the absence of a presidential contest further complicate baseline comparisons to 2018 or 2022 levels. These dynamics sustain the narrow spread among mid-to-high ranges while leaving room for late shifts from campaign intensity or issue salience.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
130m+ 44%
<85m 22.1%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
22%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
30%
125-130m
20%
130m+
29%
130m+ 44%
<85m 22.1%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$371 ปริมาณ
22%
85-90m
$419 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 ปริมาณ
1%
95-100m
$269 ปริมาณ
1%
100-105m
$809 ปริมาณ
4%
105-110m
$436 ปริมาณ
5%
110-115m
$549 ปริมาณ
14%
115-120m
$1,067 ปริมาณ
16%
120-125m
$408 ปริมาณ
30%
125-130m
$1,204 ปริมาณ
20%
130m+
$318 ปริมาณ
29%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.With 2026 House elections five months away, trader consensus clusters tightly between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus turnout bands because early indicators offer conflicting signals on mobilization. Record Democratic primary participation in states like North Carolina, doubled voter registration activity at platforms such as Vote.org, and nearly 49 million eligible young voters introduce upside potential for elevated participation. Countervailing pressures include a historically low share of truly competitive districts, an off-year electorate that typically favors higher-propensity voters, and enthusiasm gaps observed in recent special elections. Redistricting changes in several states and the absence of a presidential contest further complicate baseline comparisons to 2018 or 2022 levels. These dynamics sustain the narrow spread among mid-to-high ranges while leaving room for late shifts from campaign intensity or issue salience.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,401วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.With 2026 House elections five months away, trader consensus clusters tightly between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus turnout bands because early indicators offer conflicting signals on mobilization. Record Democratic primary participation in states like North Carolina, doubled voter registration activity at platforms such as Vote.org, and nearly 49 million eligible young voters introduce upside potential for elevated participation. Countervailing pressures include a historically low share of truly competitive districts, an off-year electorate that typically favors higher-propensity voters, and enthusiasm gaps observed in recent special elections. Redistricting changes in several states and the absence of a presidential contest further complicate baseline comparisons to 2018 or 2022 levels. These dynamics sustain the narrow spread among mid-to-high ranges while leaving room for late shifts from campaign intensity or issue salience.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,401วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With 2026 House elections five months away, trader consensus clusters tightly between the 120-125 million and 130 million-plus turnout bands because early indicators offer conflicting signals on mobilization. Record Democratic primary participation in states like North Carolina, doubled voter registration activity at platforms such as Vote.org, and nearly 49 million eligible young voters introduce upside potential for elevated participation. Countervailing pressures include a historically low share of truly competitive districts, an off-year electorate that typically favors higher-propensity voters, and enthusiasm gaps observed in recent special elections. Redistricting changes in several states and the absence of a presidential contest further complicate baseline comparisons to 2018 or 2022 levels. These dynamics sustain the narrow spread among mid-to-high ranges while leaving room for late shifts from campaign intensity or issue salience.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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