The closely matched leading ranges of 115-120 million and 120-125 million votes reflect competing turnout signals ahead of the November 3, 2026, House elections. Elevated Democratic primary participation, special election overperformance, and opposition energy tied to the Trump administration have raised expectations for stronger mobilization, particularly among younger and suburban voters. At the same time, historical midterm baselines near 100-115 million, lower Republican primary engagement in some districts, and typical off-year drop-offs without a presidential race anchor the market. Nationalized competition, expanded mail and early voting options, and redistricting effects create uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps or structural patterns will dominate final participation. Upcoming debates, candidate filings, and polling shifts could widen separation between these ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
115-120m 20%
120-125m 20%
125-130m 13%
130m+ 12.5%
$25,528 ปริมาณ
$25,528 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
8%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
20%
125-130m
13%
130m+
11%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 20%
125-130m 13%
130m+ 12.5%
$25,528 ปริมาณ
$25,528 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$597 ปริมาณ
1%
85-90m
$599 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 ปริมาณ
1%
95-100m
$380 ปริมาณ
3%
100-105m
$1,099 ปริมาณ
8%
105-110m
$931 ปริมาณ
6%
110-115m
$4,334 ปริมาณ
12%
115-120m
$4,036 ปริมาณ
20%
120-125m
$8,205 ปริมาณ
20%
125-130m
$2,708 ปริมาณ
13%
130m+
$916 ปริมาณ
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched leading ranges of 115-120 million and 120-125 million votes reflect competing turnout signals ahead of the November 3, 2026, House elections. Elevated Democratic primary participation, special election overperformance, and opposition energy tied to the Trump administration have raised expectations for stronger mobilization, particularly among younger and suburban voters. At the same time, historical midterm baselines near 100-115 million, lower Republican primary engagement in some districts, and typical off-year drop-offs without a presidential race anchor the market. Nationalized competition, expanded mail and early voting options, and redistricting effects create uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps or structural patterns will dominate final participation. Upcoming debates, candidate filings, and polling shifts could widen separation between these ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,528วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched leading ranges of 115-120 million and 120-125 million votes reflect competing turnout signals ahead of the November 3, 2026, House elections. Elevated Democratic primary participation, special election overperformance, and opposition energy tied to the Trump administration have raised expectations for stronger mobilization, particularly among younger and suburban voters. At the same time, historical midterm baselines near 100-115 million, lower Republican primary engagement in some districts, and typical off-year drop-offs without a presidential race anchor the market. Nationalized competition, expanded mail and early voting options, and redistricting effects create uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps or structural patterns will dominate final participation. Upcoming debates, candidate filings, and polling shifts could widen separation between these ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,528วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched leading ranges of 115-120 million and 120-125 million votes reflect competing turnout signals ahead of the November 3, 2026, House elections. Elevated Democratic primary participation, special election overperformance, and opposition energy tied to the Trump administration have raised expectations for stronger mobilization, particularly among younger and suburban voters. At the same time, historical midterm baselines near 100-115 million, lower Republican primary engagement in some districts, and typical off-year drop-offs without a presidential race anchor the market. Nationalized competition, expanded mail and early voting options, and redistricting effects create uncertainty over whether enthusiasm gaps or structural patterns will dominate final participation. Upcoming debates, candidate filings, and polling shifts could widen separation between these ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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