Recent April core CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in March and slightly above consensus, anchors trader expectations for the May 2026 reading near that level or modestly higher. Persistent services inflation, including shelter and transportation components, combined with early signs of energy price passthrough, supports the market-implied odds favoring 2.8% (51.5%) and 2.9% (32.0%). Nowcasts from the Cleveland Fed align closely with this range, while broader labor market resilience and goods price trends limit downside risks. The June 10 release will resolve the contract amid ongoing focus on the Fed's 2% target.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCore CPI YoY - May 2026
2.8% 52%
2.9% 32%
2.5% 3.4%
2.6% 3.4%
≤2.4%
2%
2.5%
3%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
3%
2.8%
52%
2.9%
32%
3.0%
3%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
2%
≥3.3%
3%
2.8% 52%
2.9% 32%
2.5% 3.4%
2.6% 3.4%
≤2.4%
2%
2.5%
3%
2.6%
3%
2.7%
3%
2.8%
52%
2.9%
32%
3.0%
3%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
2%
≥3.3%
3%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April core CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.6% in March and slightly above consensus, anchors trader expectations for the May 2026 reading near that level or modestly higher. Persistent services inflation, including shelter and transportation components, combined with early signs of energy price passthrough, supports the market-implied odds favoring 2.8% (51.5%) and 2.9% (32.0%). Nowcasts from the Cleveland Fed align closely with this range, while broader labor market resilience and goods price trends limit downside risks. The June 10 release will resolve the contract amid ongoing focus on the Fed's 2% target.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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