**Traders assign an 85% probability against a federal appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026, reflecting ongoing congressional momentum toward a clean continuing resolution (CR) ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end.** The House Appropriations Committee advanced all twelve FY2027 spending bills through committee markup and passed several on the floor, while introducing a straightforward CR in July 2026 that would extend current funding levels through early December without policy riders. Senate leaders have signaled parallel drafting of a similar measure, consistent with recent patterns of using short-term extensions to maintain operations while full-year negotiations continue. These steps reduce immediate lapse risk despite narrow majorities and prior FY2026 funding gaps, though final enactment depends on timely bicameral agreement and presidential action before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFederal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?
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Oct 1, 2026
16% โอกาส
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Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign an 85% probability against a federal appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026, reflecting ongoing congressional momentum toward a clean continuing resolution (CR) ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end.** The House Appropriations Committee advanced all twelve FY2027 spending bills through committee markup and passed several on the floor, while introducing a straightforward CR in July 2026 that would extend current funding levels through early December without policy riders. Senate leaders have signaled parallel drafting of a similar measure, consistent with recent patterns of using short-term extensions to maintain operations while full-year negotiations continue. These steps reduce immediate lapse risk despite narrow majorities and prior FY2026 funding gaps, though final enactment depends on timely bicameral agreement and presidential action before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,319วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign an 85% probability against a federal appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026, reflecting ongoing congressional momentum toward a clean continuing resolution (CR) ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end.** The House Appropriations Committee advanced all twelve FY2027 spending bills through committee markup and passed several on the floor, while introducing a straightforward CR in July 2026 that would extend current funding levels through early December without policy riders. Senate leaders have signaled parallel drafting of a similar measure, consistent with recent patterns of using short-term extensions to maintain operations while full-year negotiations continue. These steps reduce immediate lapse risk despite narrow majorities and prior FY2026 funding gaps, though final enactment depends on timely bicameral agreement and presidential action before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,319วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 85% probability against a federal appropriations lapse on October 1, 2026, reflecting ongoing congressional momentum toward a clean continuing resolution (CR) ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end.** The House Appropriations Committee advanced all twelve FY2027 spending bills through committee markup and passed several on the floor, while introducing a straightforward CR in July 2026 that would extend current funding levels through early December without policy riders. Senate leaders have signaled parallel drafting of a similar measure, consistent with recent patterns of using short-term extensions to maintain operations while full-year negotiations continue. These steps reduce immediate lapse risk despite narrow majorities and prior FY2026 funding gaps, though final enactment depends on timely bicameral agreement and presidential action before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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