Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 48-51°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting daytime highs near 49-51°F under partly cloudy skies with breezy conditions and low precipitation chances. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus on cool mid-50s upper air mass lingering after earlier warm spells, limiting surface heating despite potential afternoon insolation; the April 19 climatological normal is 60°F, but a weak trough aloft suppresses temps below average. Differentiating factors include timing of partial cloud clearing—favoring 50-51°F with more sun versus 48-49°F if persistent overcast—and boundary layer mixing from 10-15 mph winds. NWS updates expected through evening could refine odds ahead of O'Hare Airport observations resolving the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 19?
50-51°F 35%
48-49°F 33%
52-53°F 18%
54-55°F 8%
ใหม่
$12,914 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,914 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
7%
48-49°F
33%
50-51°F
35%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
8%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 35%
48-49°F 33%
52-53°F 18%
54-55°F 8%
ใหม่
$12,914 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,914 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
43°F or below
$2,687 ปริมาณ
1%
44-45°F
$1,176 ปริมาณ
2%
46-47°F
$1,425 ปริมาณ
7%
48-49°F
$692 ปริมาณ
33%
50-51°F
$681 ปริมาณ
35%
52-53°F
$521 ปริมาณ
18%
54-55°F
$381 ปริมาณ
8%
56-57°F
$981 ปริมาณ
2%
58-59°F
$829 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$978 ปริมาณ
1%
62°F or higher
$2,664 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 48-51°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting daytime highs near 49-51°F under partly cloudy skies with breezy conditions and low precipitation chances. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus on cool mid-50s upper air mass lingering after earlier warm spells, limiting surface heating despite potential afternoon insolation; the April 19 climatological normal is 60°F, but a weak trough aloft suppresses temps below average. Differentiating factors include timing of partial cloud clearing—favoring 50-51°F with more sun versus 48-49°F if persistent overcast—and boundary layer mixing from 10-15 mph winds. NWS updates expected through evening could refine odds ahead of O'Hare Airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,914วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 48-51°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting daytime highs near 49-51°F under partly cloudy skies with breezy conditions and low precipitation chances. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus on cool mid-50s upper air mass lingering after earlier warm spells, limiting surface heating despite potential afternoon insolation; the April 19 climatological normal is 60°F, but a weak trough aloft suppresses temps below average. Differentiating factors include timing of partial cloud clearing—favoring 50-51°F with more sun versus 48-49°F if persistent overcast—and boundary layer mixing from 10-15 mph winds. NWS updates expected through evening could refine odds ahead of O'Hare Airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,914วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 48-51°F for Chicago's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting daytime highs near 49-51°F under partly cloudy skies with breezy conditions and low precipitation chances. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show consensus on cool mid-50s upper air mass lingering after earlier warm spells, limiting surface heating despite potential afternoon insolation; the April 19 climatological normal is 60°F, but a weak trough aloft suppresses temps below average. Differentiating factors include timing of partial cloud clearing—favoring 50-51°F with more sun versus 48-49°F if persistent overcast—and boundary layer mixing from 10-15 mph winds. NWS updates expected through evening could refine odds ahead of O'Hare Airport observations resolving the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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