Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 ปริมาณ
$84,714 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 ปริมาณ
$84,714 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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