Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 ปริมาณ
$97,646 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 ปริมาณ
$97,646 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
18°C or below
$6,024 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,527 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,387 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$8,314 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,829 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$12,095 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$13,254 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$17,002 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$10,374 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$7,129 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$5,710 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,646วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,646วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย