PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on May 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 5?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,545 ปริมาณ
$38,545 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,545 ปริมาณ
$38,545 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
29°C or below
$982 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,106 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,207 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,154 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,471 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,755 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$6,631 ปริมาณ
Yes
36°C
$3,662 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$8,619 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$2,085 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$1,875 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,545วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,545วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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