National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on May 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 ปริมาณ
$166,472 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 ปริมาณ
$166,472 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
$5,047 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$7,928 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$7,776 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$21,924 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$22,918 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$23,342 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$27,561 ปริมาณ
Yes
96-97°F
$20,128 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$7,801 ปริมาณ
No
100-101°F
$10,572 ปริมาณ
No
102°F or higher
$11,475 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$166,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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