Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on July 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 18?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,864 ปริมาณ
$64,864 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$64,864 ปริมาณ
$64,864 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
28°C or below
$2,359 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,079 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,413 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$5,565 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$10,025 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$13,455 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$12,716 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$6,617 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$5,185 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$3,759 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$689 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,864วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,864วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent short-range forecasts for Milan show daily maxima clustering between 32–35 °C on 18 July, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under persistent high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover or weak instability can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, explaining why the 34 °C, 33 °C, and 32 °C brackets command the tightest market-implied odds. Urban heat-island amplification and July climatological baselines near 30 °C further anchor expectations, while any late-model cooling trend or slight increase in moisture could readily favor the lower outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย