Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 20?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,702 ปริมาณ
$12,702 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,702 ปริมาณ
$12,702 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
21°C or below
$606 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$474 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$516 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$532 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,251 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,005 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,345 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$1,041 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$739 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$580 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$615 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,702วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,702วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on July 20, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward and sustaining above-average summer conditions. This setup, combined with typical July climatology featuring overnight lows near 23–25°C, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 26–28°C at 35–37.5%. Model consensus shows limited spread, though variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, urban heat retention, and any late shifts in steering flow could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest near-term refinements for traders assessing these narrow probability bands.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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