Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 ปริมาณ
$32,648 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 ปริมาณ
$32,648 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
$5,625 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,145 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,209 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,799 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,406 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,038 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,101 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,122 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,745 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,022 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$7,438 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,648วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,648วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย