Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 amid light coastal winds and typical August humidity levels that limit extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30–32°C for late-summer coastal highs, where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 61% implied probability. A slight cooling trend noted in recent IMS guidance has tempered chances for 34°C or higher, while ensemble consistency reduces downside risk below 32°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 61%
34°C 19%
32°C 17%
31°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
61%
34°C
19%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 61%
34°C 19%
32°C 17%
31°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$70 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C
$93 ปริมาณ
17%
33°C
$248 ปริมาณ
61%
34°C
$193 ปริมาณ
19%
35°C
$72 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 amid light coastal winds and typical August humidity levels that limit extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30–32°C for late-summer coastal highs, where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 61% implied probability. A slight cooling trend noted in recent IMS guidance has tempered chances for 34°C or higher, while ensemble consistency reduces downside risk below 32°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$716วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 amid light coastal winds and typical August humidity levels that limit extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30–32°C for late-summer coastal highs, where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 61% implied probability. A slight cooling trend noted in recent IMS guidance has tempered chances for 34°C or higher, while ensemble consistency reduces downside risk below 32°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$716วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 amid light coastal winds and typical August humidity levels that limit extreme heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30–32°C for late-summer coastal highs, where sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover favor the market's leading 33°C outcome at 61% implied probability. A slight cooling trend noted in recent IMS guidance has tempered chances for 34°C or higher, while ensemble consistency reduces downside risk below 32°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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