Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$186,992 ปริมาณ
$186,992 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$186,992 ปริมาณ
$186,992 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
$3,711 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,979 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,813 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,945 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$10,176 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$15,303 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,793 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$34,741 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$47,959 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$26,759 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$25,813 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$186,992วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$186,992วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations confirm Tokyo's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, peaked at 23.3°C mid-afternoon at key AMEDAS stations, including central Tokyo, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 23°C outcome. This aligns with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and lingering frontal influences capping intensification amid typical early May climatology, where average highs hover around 23°C. Model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF had converged on this range pre-event, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 23.5°C or post hoc data revisions from outlier stations, though final daily summaries expected within hours render shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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