Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,462 ปริมาณ
$77,462 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$77,462 ปริมาณ
$77,462 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
18°C or below
$5,304 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,825 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,754 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,236 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$6,252 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$8,359 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$11,640 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$11,130 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$9,532 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$7,767 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$7,664 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,462วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,462วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, as tracked by IMGW and reported via platforms like TimeandDate, confirm a peak temperature of 25°C (77°F) around 4:00 p.m. on May 2 under mostly sunny skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecast models projecting daytime maxima of 24–26°C amid a stable high-pressure system over central Poland—well above the early May climatological average of 19°C. Such model agreement and real-time METAR data minimize uncertainty, though rare scenarios like unexpected convective clearing or slight positive temperature bias in afternoon hours could theoretically nudge readings to 26°C before data finalization.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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