Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 ปริมาณ
$58,410 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,410 ปริมาณ
$58,410 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
19°C or below
$5,053 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,587 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$9,264 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$11,206 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$8,565 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,037 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,445 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,220 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,775 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,878 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$1,381 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,410วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,410วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:49 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Wuhan on April 24, driven by official observations from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological station, where intraday readings peaked at 22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) updates and METAR reports confirm this, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 21-22°C amid lingering cool air from recent frontal passages. Late-April climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but current conditions—sunset by early evening and minimal solar heating—lock in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unlikely late-day clearing and heat burst exceeding 23°C before midnight local time, with final resolution pending CMA's daily airport record.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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