Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 ปริมาณ
$85,697 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 ปริมาณ
$85,697 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
16°C or below
$2,719 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,643 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,563 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$7,247 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$10,303 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$8,630 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$15,472 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$10,009 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,898 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,026 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$7,186 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,697วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,697วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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