Trader consensus favors a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24, with 31°C as the clear secondary outcome, as short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on typical late-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure. These probabilities reflect the narrow uncertainty window only 48 hours before the event, where official guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service shows daytime highs aligning with the 29–31°C range based on current sea-surface temperatures and minimal synoptic forcing. Recent surface observations confirm no heat-wave anomalies or rapid advection changes that would shift the distribution, keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds. Final model runs and local station data expected in the next 24 hours will determine the precise resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 24?
30°C 57%
29°C 29%
31°C 26%
28°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
29%
30°C
57%
31°C
26%
32°C
12%
33°C
16%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
30°C 57%
29°C 29%
31°C 26%
28°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
27°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
30°C
$82 ปริมาณ
57%
31°C
$30 ปริมาณ
26%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24, with 31°C as the clear secondary outcome, as short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on typical late-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure. These probabilities reflect the narrow uncertainty window only 48 hours before the event, where official guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service shows daytime highs aligning with the 29–31°C range based on current sea-surface temperatures and minimal synoptic forcing. Recent surface observations confirm no heat-wave anomalies or rapid advection changes that would shift the distribution, keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds. Final model runs and local station data expected in the next 24 hours will determine the precise resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24, with 31°C as the clear secondary outcome, as short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on typical late-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure. These probabilities reflect the narrow uncertainty window only 48 hours before the event, where official guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service shows daytime highs aligning with the 29–31°C range based on current sea-surface temperatures and minimal synoptic forcing. Recent surface observations confirm no heat-wave anomalies or rapid advection changes that would shift the distribution, keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds. Final model runs and local station data expected in the next 24 hours will determine the precise resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 24, with 31°C as the clear secondary outcome, as short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models converge on typical late-September Mediterranean conditions under stable high pressure. These probabilities reflect the narrow uncertainty window only 48 hours before the event, where official guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service shows daytime highs aligning with the 29–31°C range based on current sea-surface temperatures and minimal synoptic forcing. Recent surface observations confirm no heat-wave anomalies or rapid advection changes that would shift the distribution, keeping higher or lower extremes at low implied odds. Final model runs and local station data expected in the next 24 hours will determine the precise resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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