Recent forecasts from multiple models and meteorological services, including the Met Office and Israeli sources, indicate a high near 29–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 22, with partly cloudy conditions, light westerly winds, and low precipitation risk supporting moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 27°C or below at 49%, reflecting trader caution amid model variability and the influence of Mediterranean sea breezes that can cap daytime maxima. Recent observations show a slight cooling trend from earlier September highs near 33–35°C, consistent with seasonal transition and stable atmospheric patterns. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if deviations from the 29–30°C range emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
29°C 39%
31°C 39%
30°C 37%
27°C or below 34%
27°C or below
34%
28°C
5%
29°C
39%
30°C
42%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
29°C 39%
31°C 39%
30°C 37%
27°C or below 34%
27°C or below
34%
28°C
5%
29°C
39%
30°C
42%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and meteorological services, including the Met Office and Israeli sources, indicate a high near 29–31°C for Tel Aviv on September 22, with partly cloudy conditions, light westerly winds, and low precipitation risk supporting moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 27°C or below at 49%, reflecting trader caution amid model variability and the influence of Mediterranean sea breezes that can cap daytime maxima. Recent observations show a slight cooling trend from earlier September highs near 33–35°C, consistent with seasonal transition and stable atmospheric patterns. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if deviations from the 29–30°C range emerge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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