**Forecast models from sources like LUFT TIME and WeatherBug project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 24, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity, and scattered rain or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Recent convective activity and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences have kept overnight lows elevated compared to the historical September average of 23.4°C, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 20°C. At the same time, daytime highs near 33–34°C sustain trader interest in the 30°C+ outcome. The near-even split between the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher bins reflects model sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation and wind patterns, which can shift the minimum by several degrees depending on whether skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations will be key ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 24?
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
20°C or below
98%
21°C
13%
22°C
17%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
98%
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
20°C or below
98%
21°C
13%
22°C
17%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like LUFT TIME and WeatherBug project a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 24, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity, and scattered rain or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Recent convective activity and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences have kept overnight lows elevated compared to the historical September average of 23.4°C, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 20°C. At the same time, daytime highs near 33–34°C sustain trader interest in the 30°C+ outcome. The near-even split between the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher bins reflects model sensitivity to exact timing of precipitation and wind patterns, which can shift the minimum by several degrees depending on whether skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations will be key ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย