Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 32°C or higher (52%) and 31°C (27%). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with urban heat island effects and light southerly flow supporting peak readings near or above normal. Current model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, reducing cooling while maintaining heat risk. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover and any late-day showers, keeping lower outcomes under 10% implied probability. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 17?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 17?
32°C or higher 46%
31°C 27%
30°C 15%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
15%
31°C
25%
32°C or higher
46%
32°C or higher 46%
31°C 27%
30°C 15%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
22°C or below
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$146 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$12 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$11 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$7 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$11 ปริมาณ
25%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 32°C or higher (52%) and 31°C (27%). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with urban heat island effects and light southerly flow supporting peak readings near or above normal. Current model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, reducing cooling while maintaining heat risk. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover and any late-day showers, keeping lower outcomes under 10% implied probability. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,255วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 32°C or higher (52%) and 31°C (27%). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with urban heat island effects and light southerly flow supporting peak readings near or above normal. Current model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, reducing cooling while maintaining heat risk. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover and any late-day showers, keeping lower outcomes under 10% implied probability. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,255วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 32°C or higher (52%) and 31°C (27%). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with urban heat island effects and light southerly flow supporting peak readings near or above normal. Current model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation, reducing cooling while maintaining heat risk. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover and any late-day showers, keeping lower outcomes under 10% implied probability. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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