Forecast models from major centers show broad agreement on a minimum temperature near 15–17°C in Amsterdam for August 29, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover overnight, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly flow off the North Sea that limits daytime heat buildup while capping how low temperatures fall. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, yet small differences in timing of any approaching Atlantic front or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs and local station climatology, which historically places late-August overnight lows in this range under similar synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
16°C 48%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
12°C or below 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
16%
13°C
16%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
9%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
12°C or below 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
13°C
$64 ปริมาณ
16%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
16°C
$10 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show broad agreement on a minimum temperature near 15–17°C in Amsterdam for August 29, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover overnight, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly flow off the North Sea that limits daytime heat buildup while capping how low temperatures fall. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, yet small differences in timing of any approaching Atlantic front or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs and local station climatology, which historically places late-August overnight lows in this range under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major centers show broad agreement on a minimum temperature near 15–17°C in Amsterdam for August 29, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover overnight, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly flow off the North Sea that limits daytime heat buildup while capping how low temperatures fall. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, yet small differences in timing of any approaching Atlantic front or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs and local station climatology, which historically places late-August overnight lows in this range under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major centers show broad agreement on a minimum temperature near 15–17°C in Amsterdam for August 29, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover overnight, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly flow off the North Sea that limits daytime heat buildup while capping how low temperatures fall. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this short range, yet small differences in timing of any approaching Atlantic front or urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution runs and local station climatology, which historically places late-August overnight lows in this range under similar synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย