Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
5°C or below 98%
15°C or higher 98%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
5°C or below
98%
6°C
39%
7°C
20%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C or higher
98%
5°C or below 98%
15°C or higher 98%
6°C 39%
13°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
5°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
15°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Ankara show notable spread in projected overnight lows for September 15, with official guidance ranging from roughly 8–13 °C amid clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. This variability, driven by differences in modeled radiative cooling under Ankara’s high-plateau continental climate and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture, keeps market-implied odds for the 5 °C-or-below and 15 °C-or-higher bins nearly even at 50 % and 49.5 %. Intermediate single-degree outcomes sit at 20 % each, reflecting trader recognition that small changes in wind speed or cloud cover can swing the minimum by several degrees. The next high-resolution model runs and any updated guidance from Turkish meteorological services will likely narrow these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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