**Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains has locked in hot, dry conditions across Central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 15.** Southerly winds of 5–10 mph and dew points near 70°F will limit radiational cooling, keeping the daily minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows little change through the period, with only a slight chance of increased cloud cover that could modestly suppress the low. This setup favors temperatures clustering near 76–78°F, distinguishing the closely matched market outcomes around the 69°F threshold versus higher ranges. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 15?
88°F or higher 95%
69°F or below 49%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
69°F or below
49%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
95%
88°F or higher 95%
69°F or below 49%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
69°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
82-83°F
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
84-85°F
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
86-87°F
$10 ปริมาณ
39%
88°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains has locked in hot, dry conditions across Central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 15.** Southerly winds of 5–10 mph and dew points near 70°F will limit radiational cooling, keeping the daily minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows little change through the period, with only a slight chance of increased cloud cover that could modestly suppress the low. This setup favors temperatures clustering near 76–78°F, distinguishing the closely matched market outcomes around the 69°F threshold versus higher ranges. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains has locked in hot, dry conditions across Central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 15.** Southerly winds of 5–10 mph and dew points near 70°F will limit radiational cooling, keeping the daily minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows little change through the period, with only a slight chance of increased cloud cover that could modestly suppress the low. This setup favors temperatures clustering near 76–78°F, distinguishing the closely matched market outcomes around the 69°F threshold versus higher ranges. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains has locked in hot, dry conditions across Central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on September 15.** Southerly winds of 5–10 mph and dew points near 70°F will limit radiational cooling, keeping the daily minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 68°F. Model consensus from recent runs shows little change through the period, with only a slight chance of increased cloud cover that could modestly suppress the low. This setup favors temperatures clustering near 76–78°F, distinguishing the closely matched market outcomes around the 69°F threshold versus higher ranges. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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