Forecast models and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a moderating southerly airstream. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 28°C (34%) and 27°C (29.5%). Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact overnight lows, with some runs dipping toward 26°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. Daytime highs near 32–33°C and light west-southwest winds are expected to maintain humidity above 70%, further muting temperature drops. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
26°C 22%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
34%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
26°C 22%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$64 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$158 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
28°C
$122 ปริมาณ
34%
29°C
$150 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$50 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a moderating southerly airstream. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 28°C (34%) and 27°C (29.5%). Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact overnight lows, with some runs dipping toward 26°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. Daytime highs near 32–33°C and light west-southwest winds are expected to maintain humidity above 70%, further muting temperature drops. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$569วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a moderating southerly airstream. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 28°C (34%) and 27°C (29.5%). Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact overnight lows, with some runs dipping toward 26°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. Daytime highs near 32–33°C and light west-southwest winds are expected to maintain humidity above 70%, further muting temperature drops. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$569วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and Hong Kong Observatory guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C on August 29 under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms driven by a moderating southerly airstream. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting the market’s tight clustering between 28°C (34%) and 27°C (29.5%). Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact overnight lows, with some runs dipping toward 26°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. Daytime highs near 32–33°C and light west-southwest winds are expected to maintain humidity above 70%, further muting temperature drops. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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