Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 2, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Typical early-September climatology supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and light winds preventing sharper drops. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 21°C and 22°C reflects small uncertainties in exact minimum timing, local station variations, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clear-sky enhancement. Updated guidance from regional agencies will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
19°C 100%
20°C 100%
23°C 100%
22°C 51%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
51%
22°C
51%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100%
20°C 100%
23°C 100%
22°C 51%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$57 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$69 ปริมาณ
6%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$89 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 2, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Typical early-September climatology supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and light winds preventing sharper drops. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 21°C and 22°C reflects small uncertainties in exact minimum timing, local station variations, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clear-sky enhancement. Updated guidance from regional agencies will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$285วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 2, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Typical early-September climatology supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and light winds preventing sharper drops. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 21°C and 22°C reflects small uncertainties in exact minimum timing, local station variations, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clear-sky enhancement. Updated guidance from regional agencies will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$285วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 2, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Typical early-September climatology supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and light winds preventing sharper drops. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 21°C and 22°C reflects small uncertainties in exact minimum timing, local station variations, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, while lower outcomes remain less favored absent an unexpected cold-air surge or clear-sky enhancement. Updated guidance from regional agencies will clarify resolution thresholds before the overnight period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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