The recorded overnight minimum of 17°C in London on May 25 aligned precisely with official Met Office observations from central stations, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to 100% while rendering all other thresholds negligible. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and the urban heat island effect prevented temperatures from dropping further despite typical May variability. Traders incorporated the latest model guidance and real-time station data showing no sub-17°C readings. Minor resolution risk remains only if final verified reports from alternate sites or post-processing adjustments revise the figure, though historical consistency in London’s temperature network makes such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on May 25?
Lowest temperature in London on May 25?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$20,166 ปริมาณ
$20,166 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$20,166 ปริมาณ
$20,166 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
10°C or below
$667 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$447 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$571 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,595 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$610 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,174 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,299 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,277 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$2,821 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,873 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$1,831 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The recorded overnight minimum of 17°C in London on May 25 aligned precisely with official Met Office observations from central stations, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to 100% while rendering all other thresholds negligible. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and the urban heat island effect prevented temperatures from dropping further despite typical May variability. Traders incorporated the latest model guidance and real-time station data showing no sub-17°C readings. Minor resolution risk remains only if final verified reports from alternate sites or post-processing adjustments revise the figure, though historical consistency in London’s temperature network makes such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,166วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The recorded overnight minimum of 17°C in London on May 25 aligned precisely with official Met Office observations from central stations, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to 100% while rendering all other thresholds negligible. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and the urban heat island effect prevented temperatures from dropping further despite typical May variability. Traders incorporated the latest model guidance and real-time station data showing no sub-17°C readings. Minor resolution risk remains only if final verified reports from alternate sites or post-processing adjustments revise the figure, though historical consistency in London’s temperature network makes such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,166วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The recorded overnight minimum of 17°C in London on May 25 aligned precisely with official Met Office observations from central stations, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to 100% while rendering all other thresholds negligible. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and the urban heat island effect prevented temperatures from dropping further despite typical May variability. Traders incorporated the latest model guidance and real-time station data showing no sub-17°C readings. Minor resolution risk remains only if final verified reports from alternate sites or post-processing adjustments revise the figure, though historical consistency in London’s temperature network makes such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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