Recent heavy monsoon rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, including 16–31 mm in Lucknow on September 1 with ongoing thundershowers and overcast skies, has elevated humidity and cloud cover, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models project a September 2 low around 25°C amid continued patchy rain and easterly winds, consistent with early-September climatology of 24–26°C minima. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22–26°C reflects minor forecast variability in rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter the exact overnight low by 1–2°C through differences in cloud persistence or brief clear spells, while extremes below 22°C or above 27°C remain unlikely under current moist, stable conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 2?
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 51%
24°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
50%
25°C
51%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
25°C 51%
24°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
50%
25°C
51%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, including 16–31 mm in Lucknow on September 1 with ongoing thundershowers and overcast skies, has elevated humidity and cloud cover, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official IMD forecasts and multiple models project a September 2 low around 25°C amid continued patchy rain and easterly winds, consistent with early-September climatology of 24–26°C minima. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 22–26°C reflects minor forecast variability in rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter the exact overnight low by 1–2°C through differences in cloud persistence or brief clear spells, while extremes below 22°C or above 27°C remain unlikely under current moist, stable conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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